Who's betting on “Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $159 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,235 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is sabsabinxz, with $1.7K on it, $84K lifetime profit over 99 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $214 on No.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $561
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $214
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$561 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$159+$255K lifetime
- 2afuro8931% won of 45 · noise$132+$291 lifetime
- 30xAB4d5f7F970E3F5dAdA59f63D64dcEc55D469b69-177151117580020% won of 30 · noise$120+$370 lifetime
- 40xC2661D16350ED82d5C2292294BAa01851fB68187-177712259720977% won of 285 · balanced$43+$2.7K lifetime
- 5rocky4200655% won of 1,338$34−$9.9K lifetime
No$4.3K on it
- 1sabsabinxz70% won of 99 · whale$1.7K+$84K lifetime
- 2paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$686+$288K lifetime
- 3Eire68% won of 446$467−$116K lifetime
- 4AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$266+$122K lifetime
- 5Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$218+$3.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $159 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,235 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is sabsabinxz, with $1.7K on it, $84K lifetime profit over 99 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.