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Who's betting on “New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?”?

Politics$72K traded60 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes
99%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$72K
traded all time
Held now
$2.2K
by 60 wallets
Smart share · Yes
88%
28 scored holders
Smart share · No
84%
32 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

88% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

Who holds it

60 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is OkaneKasegu, with $12 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 204 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is 57284910, with $805 on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 25 markets (88% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $73 on No.

Yes1%
Smart money share88%
7 days ago 89%a day ago 88%now 88%
Holders
28
Money on it
$27
Holders' win rate
71%
No99%
Smart money share84% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 84%a day ago 82%now 84%
Holders
32
Money on it
$2.1K
Holders' win rate
71%
Snipers
1 · $73

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$27 on it

  1. 1OkaneKasegu84% won of 204 · whale$12+$30K lifetime
  2. 20x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-177150851187252% won of 213 · balanced$3+$40K lifetime
  3. 3peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$2+$33K lifetime
  4. 42200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.81% won of 342 · balanced$2+$521 lifetime
  5. 5qqqppp-l138% won of 7,217 · noise$1+$10K lifetime

No$2.1K on it

  1. 15728491088% won of 25 · balanced$805+$2.9K lifetime
  2. 2The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$507+$1.8M lifetime
  3. 3Flaner45% won of 208$258−$185K lifetime
  4. 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$164+$28K lifetime
  5. 5ronaldk87% won of 239 · sniper$73+$42K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?"?

60 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is OkaneKasegu, with $12 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 204 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is 57284910, with $805 on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 25 markets (88% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

88% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.