Who's betting on “Negative GDP growth in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 53% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.7K by 101 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 18% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 29, 2027.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
Who holds it
101 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $243
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $8.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Negative GDP growth in 2026?"?
101 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Negative GDP growth in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 29, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 29, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.