
Who's betting on “Spread: Magic (-4.5)”?
Sports · $7.7K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Magic at 14¢ and Knicks at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of Knicks. $7.7K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
99% of the money on Magic and 65% of the money on Knicks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Magic, by 34 points.
34 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Magic holder is 0xC576775EF9167dDc38ee6a4E537545ab73d0b9d2-1789288093603, with $290 on it, $31K lifetime profit over 30 markets (87% won). The largest Knicks holder is forecastication4, with $1.7K on it, $113K lifetime profit over 2,050 markets (91% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $560 on Magic.
- Smart money share
- 99%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $929
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 2 · $560
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 72%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xC576775EF9167dDc38ee6a4E537545ab73d0b9d2-1789288093603sniper | $290 | +$31K | 87% of 30 |
| adururusniper | $270 | +$118K | 74% of 511 |
| oxe78sh4w98whale | $270 | +$34K | 72% of 454 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $66 | +$1.4M | 53% of 126,992 |
| GGLPLwhale | $19 | +$1.1K | 75% of 1,014 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| forecastication4whale | $1.7K | +$113K | 91% of 2,050 |
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872whale | $865 | +$886K | 58% of 16,895 |
| bgpowerx11 | $865 | -$21K | 89% of 562 |
| poshposh | $681 | -$116K | 64% of 23,686 |
| BullishBarbwhale | $514 | +$50K | 64% of 1,055 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Magic vs. Knicks
- Magic vs. Knicks$483K vol.Magic 23%Knicks 78%Smart money: Magic
- Spread -7.5$366K vol.Knicks 56%Magic 45%Smart money: Magic
- O/U 224.5$130K vol.Over 27%Under 74%Smart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$41K vol.Knicks 59%Magic 41%Smart money: Knicks
- Spread -8.5$12K vol.Knicks 51%Magic 50%Smart money: Knicks
- O/U 222.5$11K vol.Over 30%Under 70%Smart money: Under
- Spread -9.5$8.5K vol.Knicks 48%Magic 53%Smart money: Magic
- Spread -11.5$6.3K vol.Knicks 40%Magic 61%Smart money split
- O/U 214.5$6.2K vol.Over 51%Under 49%Smart money: Under
- O/U 212.5$6.1K vol.Over 57%Under 43%Smart money split
- Spread -12.5$6.1K vol.Knicks 37%Magic 64%Smart money: Knicks
- Spread -10.5$4.9K vol.Knicks 44%Magic 56%Smart money: Magic
- O/U 220.5$4.8K vol.Over 36%Under 65%Smart money: Under
- Spread -13.5$3.9K vol.Knicks 34%Magic 66%Smart money: Knicks
- 1H O/U 115.5$3.9K vol.Over 11%Under 89%Smart money: Under
- Spread -15.5$3.8K vol.Knicks 30%Magic 71%Smart money: Knicks
- O/U 226.5$3.3K vol.Over 22%Under 78%Smart money: Under
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.8M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.1M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.4M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Magic (-4.5)"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Magic holder is 0xC576775EF9167dDc38ee6a4E537545ab73d0b9d2-1789288093603, with $290 on it, $31K lifetime profit over 30 markets (87% won). The largest Knicks holder is forecastication4, with $1.7K on it, $113K lifetime profit over 2,050 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Magic (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Magic at 14¢ and Knicks at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of Knicks. $7.7K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Magic and 65% of the money on Knicks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Magic, by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.