Who's betting on “Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)”?
Smart money leans Suns: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $725K traded all time
- Held now
- $693K by 200 wallets
- Smart share · Nuggets
- 90% 103 scored holders
- Smart share · Suns
- 97% 97 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Nuggets at 61¢ and Suns at 39¢, a 61% implied chance of Nuggets. $725K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Nuggets and 97% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Suns, by 7 points.
Who holds it
200 wallets hold a position worth $693K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Nuggets holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $304K on it, $4.4M lifetime profit over 6,201 markets (47% won). The largest Suns holder is BreakTheBank, with $291K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 679 markets (88% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $89 on Suns.
- Holders
- 103
- Money on it
- $371K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 97
- Money on it
- $322K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
- Snipers
- 1 · $89
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsNuggets$371K on it
- 10x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546547% won of 6,201 · whale$304K+$4.4M lifetime
- 2purplegatto73% won of 3,610$27K−$1.9M lifetime
- 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,189 · whale$18K+$3.0M lifetime
- 4ComingBack97% won of 667$5.3K−$661K lifetime
- 5VeryLucky88859% won of 64,881 · whale$4.0K+$417K lifetime
Suns$322K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 679 · whale$291K+$11M lifetime
- 2monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 718 · whale$7.0K+$1.1M lifetime
- 3ubetteruuuu51% won of 400 · whale$5.4K+$52K lifetime
- 4forget495% won of 311 · whale$2.8K+$101K lifetime
- 5nigiri9947% won of 17,318$2.0K−$1.3M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Nuggets vs. Suns
24 more- Nuggets vs. Suns$1.4M vol.Nuggets 77%Suns 24%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -3.5$397K vol.Nuggets 66%Suns 35%Smart money: Suns
- O/U 241.5$87K vol.Over 95%Under 6%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 231.5$74K vol.Over 100%Under 1%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$22K vol.Nuggets 53%Suns 48%Smart money: Nuggets
- O/U 243.5$19K vol.Over 92%Under 8%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 255.5$13K vol.Over 68%Under 33%Smart money: Over
- O/U 233.5$13K vol.Over 98%Under 2%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$13K vol.Nuggets 70%Suns 30%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$12K vol.Suns 21%Nuggets 79%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$12K vol.Nuggets 74%Suns 27%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -7.5$8.3K vol.Nuggets 49%Suns 52%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 235.5$8.1K vol.Over 98%Under 2%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 245.5$7.2K vol.Over 89%Under 11%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 247.5$6.8K vol.Over 87%Under 14%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$6.6K vol.Nuggets 57%Suns 43%Smart money: Nuggets
- O/U 239.5$6.3K vol.Over 96%Under 4%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -3.5$5.7K vol.Suns 16%Nuggets 85%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 230.5$5.5K vol.Over 98%Under 2%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 249.5$4.4K vol.Over 84%Under 17%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$4.3K vol.Suns 12%Nuggets 89%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 237.5$4.2K vol.Over 97%Under 3%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 229.5$3.9K vol.Over 99%Under 1%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -11.5$3.8K vol.Suns 4%Nuggets 97%Too little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)"?
200 wallets hold a position worth $693K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Nuggets holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $304K on it, $4.4M lifetime profit over 6,201 markets (47% won). The largest Suns holder is BreakTheBank, with $291K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 679 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Nuggets at 61¢ and Suns at 39¢, a 61% implied chance of Nuggets. $725K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Nuggets and 97% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Suns, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.