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Who's betting on “Nawrocki out by December 31?”?

Politics$11K traded53 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated November 2, 2026
3%Yes
97%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$6.5K
by 53 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
97%
22 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

53 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is Parz1vaI, with $64 on it, $804K lifetime profit over 1,289 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is BloodyMummer, with $2.1K on it, $60K lifetime profit over 202 markets (78% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $116 on No.

Yes3%
Smart money share-
Holders
31
Money on it
$206
Holders' win rate
69%
No97%
Smart money share97%
a day ago 97%now 97%
Holders
22
Money on it
$6.3K
Holders' win rate
71%
Snipers
1 · $116

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$206 on it

  1. 1Parz1vaI72% won of 1,289 · whale$64+$804K lifetime
  2. 2fledger86% won of 65 · balanced$29+$378 lifetime
  3. 3am85cr100% won of 277 · balanced$22+$3.7K lifetime
  4. 4Porx83% won of 467 · whale$13+$106K lifetime
  5. 5ColorBlinded53% won of 68$9−$76 lifetime

No$6.3K on it

  1. 1BloodyMummer78% won of 202 · whale$2.1K+$60K lifetime
  2. 2Moond71% won of 1,008 · whale$1.4K+$144K lifetime
  3. 3Banditoes67% won of 258 · balanced$1.1K+$4.9K lifetime
  4. 4Ko9science76% won of 201 · balanced$647+$8.0K lifetime
  5. 5pjotrekkk25% won of 2,037 · noise$278+$20K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Nawrocki out by December 31?"?

53 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is Parz1vaI, with $64 on it, $804K lifetime profit over 1,289 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is BloodyMummer, with $2.1K on it, $60K lifetime profit over 202 markets (78% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Nawrocki out by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.