Who's betting on “NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $160K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 27% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $160K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
27% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 69 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $55 on it, $3.0M lifetime loss over 30,867 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is mountmckinley, with $1.1K on it, $734 lifetime profit over 18 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $166
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $3.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$166 on it
- 1neutralwave2371% won of 30,867$55−$3.0M lifetime
- 20x57aa56bDA3f7E6CC666850A8843EC25025231E05-178349903588450% won of 8$43−$1.0K lifetime
- 3BabyGroot70% won of 888 · whale$14+$59K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$10+$255K lifetime
- 5brainprediction54% won of 94 · balanced$8+$2.2K lifetime
No$3.5K on it
- 1mountmckinley100% won of 18$1.1K+$734 lifetime
- 2Porx84% won of 411 · whale$406+$106K lifetime
- 3tilchi96% won of 165 · balanced$365+$1.2K lifetime
- 4007-Bond88% won of 105 · balanced$234+$2.9K lifetime
- 5shred777788% won of 216 · balanced$212+$9.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $55 on it, $3.0M lifetime loss over 30,867 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is mountmckinley, with $1.1K on it, $734 lifetime profit over 18 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $160K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 69 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.