Who's betting on “NATO dissolves before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $125K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 251 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 31% 98 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 153 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
31% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 53 points.
Who holds it
251 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 251 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rufr, with $49 on it, $93 lifetime profit over 3 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Jan777, with $2.1K on it, $76K lifetime profit over 150 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $235
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 153
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$235 on it
- 1Rufr67% won of 3$49+$93 lifetime
- 2RonaldFrank70% won of 10$28−$40 lifetime
- 3maxtrant51% won of 116$15−$437 lifetime
- 4gaetanr29% won of 7$13−$411 lifetime
- 50xe46Ca60B889beDD47D5b6340fd9e8585A2479882-1773037326748no record yet$13−$43 lifetime
No$19K on it
- 1Jan77795% won of 150 · whale$2.1K+$76K lifetime
- 295074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$2.1K+$146K lifetime
- 3Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$1.9K+$14K lifetime
- 4Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$1.6K+$1.5M lifetime
- 5Imbafer56% won of 471 · whale$1.5K+$44K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "NATO dissolves before 2027?"?
251 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 251 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rufr, with $49 on it, $93 lifetime profit over 3 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Jan777, with $2.1K on it, $76K lifetime profit over 150 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "NATO dissolves before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.