Who's betting on “NATO article 5 before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 35% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $302K traded all time
- Held now
- $162K by 201 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 103 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 35% 98 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $302K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
201 wallets hold a position worth $162K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them. The largest Yes holder is vsesoso, with $2.0K on it, $402 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Vietnam7, with $57K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
- Holders
- 103
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $156K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.2K on it
- 1vsesoso100% won of 1$2.0K−$402 lifetime
- 2whysoslowno record yet$1.9K+$0 lifetime
- 3LlamaLoco000045% won of 299 · noise$1.1K+$325K lifetime
- 4purplegatto73% won of 3,495$215−$1.9M lifetime
- 5meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$152+$142K lifetime
No$156K on it
- 1Vietnam7no record yet$57K+$0 lifetime
- 2gorovi93% won of 374 · whale$32K+$30K lifetime
- 3NeH50% won of 159$23K−$72K lifetime
- 4Trashbag87% won of 127$12K−$2.6K lifetime
- 5J3lcExePrd1KE5M89% won of 37 · balanced$12K+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "NATO article 5 before 2027?"?
201 wallets hold a position worth $162K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them. The largest Yes holder is vsesoso, with $2.0K on it, $402 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Vietnam7, with $57K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "NATO article 5 before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $302K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.