Who's betting on “Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.0K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Warren-Buffett, with $625 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is nonkenny90, with $3.2K on it, $80K lifetime profit over 1,453 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1Warren-Buffett68% won of 1,051 · whale$625+$127K lifetime
- 2SqMoneyHunter56% won of 102 · balanced$151+$3.0K lifetime
- 3gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$111+$12K lifetime
- 4KakiBatusik54% won of 216 · balanced$51+$3.2K lifetime
- 5Nanamo61324% won of 216$40−$1.2K lifetime
No$7.9K on it
- 1nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$3.2K+$80K lifetime
- 2Jep-G52% won of 1,050 · whale$1.7K+$100K lifetime
- 3XueqinJiang69% won of 236 · whale$1.4K+$44K lifetime
- 4AlAhmeda71% won of 1,367$867−$96K lifetime
- 5MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$185+$38K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Warren-Buffett, with $625 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is nonkenny90, with $3.2K on it, $80K lifetime profit over 1,453 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.