Who's betting on “Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $168K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 713 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 33% 306 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 406 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $168K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
33% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
Who holds it
713 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 712 of them. The largest Yes holder is polibetsi, with $123 on it, $521 lifetime loss over 14 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $3.5K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,026 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 307
- Money on it
- $406
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 406
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$406 on it
- 1polibetsi36% won of 14$123−$521 lifetime
- 20xaBfd55F8889ad9cCA18c0C518893ee22DBEb54D3-177442352057464% won of 11$48−$189 lifetime
- 3clivearg98% won of 50$25+$7 lifetime
- 4okcoolstorybro70% won of 207 · whale$8+$38K lifetime
- 50x6C5773e334ec895B61C3982E5078dBd7f7950D5B-176812880824757% won of 14$7−$50 lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1TheReturnOfDarthMaul60% won of 1,026 · whale$3.5K+$1.8M lifetime
- 2AnCap.Investor57% won of 233 · balanced$2.3K+$3.8K lifetime
- 3varch0168% won of 1,163$969−$45K lifetime
- 40x94BF886A4a73D74BCF45f51F975b4F2E91cc3785-176116363269380% won of 35 · balanced$727+$211 lifetime
- 5i40071% won of 714 · whale$587+$84K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?"?
713 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 712 of them. The largest Yes holder is polibetsi, with $123 on it, $521 lifetime loss over 14 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $3.5K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,026 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $168K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
33% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.