Who's betting on “Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 66 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 86 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 30% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
30% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 68 points.
Who holds it
86 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is RalphTheKing, with $159 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Brother357, with $6.4K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (79% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $446
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$446 on it
- 1RalphTheKingno record yet$159+$0 lifetime
- 2Gigre89no record yet$55+$0 lifetime
- 3ciprovo95% won of 19$41+$424 lifetime
- 4Sardinianshepherd74% won of 1,031 · whale$31+$81K lifetime
- 5alimehmeti010% won of 1$31−$22 lifetime
No$12K on it
- 1Brother35779% won of 1,056 · whale$6.4K+$48K lifetime
- 2Desy-172519218523476% won of 609 · whale$1.0K+$108K lifetime
- 3JanusApprentice65% won of 92 · balanced$965+$17K lifetime
- 4CodeGoma88% won of 109 · grinder$900+$101 lifetime
- 5stardustdream74% won of 23 · balanced$757+$206 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is RalphTheKing, with $159 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Brother357, with $6.4K on it, $48K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 68 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.