Who's betting on “Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $239K traded all time
- Held now
- $31K by 364 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 220 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 144 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $239K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
364 wallets hold a position worth $31K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 364 of them. The largest Yes holder is smartiz1989, with $349 on it, $6.1K lifetime loss over 200 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is MajidJavadi, with $18K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 267 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 220
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 144
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.6K on it
- 1smartiz198967% won of 200$349−$6.1K lifetime
- 2pakukudolphi45% won of 326 · noise$252+$136K lifetime
- 30x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-176685531788349% won of 265 · whale$200+$26K lifetime
- 4XueqinJiang69% won of 236 · whale$148+$44K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$134+$1.2M lifetime
No$28K on it
- 1MajidJavadi64% won of 267 · whale$18K+$56K lifetime
- 2denizz66% won of 1,007 · whale$4.1K+$2.3M lifetime
- 3Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$816+$154K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$708+$28K lifetime
- 5TylerTurden89% won of 940 · whale$521+$173K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?"?
364 wallets hold a position worth $31K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 364 of them. The largest Yes holder is smartiz1989, with $349 on it, $6.1K lifetime loss over 200 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is MajidJavadi, with $18K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 267 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $239K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.