Who's betting on “Macron out by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 42% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $113K traded all time
- Held now
- $71K by 132 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 77 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 14% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $113K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
132 wallets hold a position worth $71K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is Agyapro, with $364 on it, $323 lifetime loss over 223 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is Vietnam7, with $48K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $68K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1Agyapro87% won of 223$364−$323 lifetime
- 20xE419dcBB5Ca830A2027f9196A311E8A3Eb2D55F8-177231873302760% won of 10$216+$3.1K lifetime
- 3KyVex94% won of 18$211+$599 lifetime
- 4alfredoyunesno record yet$205+$0 lifetime
- 5earthStones40% won of 78$203−$2.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Macron out by December 31, 2026?"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $71K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is Agyapro, with $364 on it, $323 lifetime loss over 223 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is Vietnam7, with $48K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Macron out by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $113K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.