Who's betting on “Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hot-Skull, with $2.4K on it, $31K lifetime profit over 313 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is frozenriver, with $13 on it, $227K lifetime profit over 247 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $57
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.1K on it
- 1Hot-Skull92% won of 313 · whale$2.4K+$31K lifetime
- 2BillyBoy9474% won of 506 · balanced$628+$3.8K lifetime
- 3DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$593+$95K lifetime
- 4itstuffer100% won of 5$520+$40 lifetime
- 5Optimus-55% won of 330 · whale$308+$121K lifetime
No$57 on it
- 1frozenriver78% won of 247 · whale$13+$227K lifetime
- 2troim66% won of 819 · whale$9+$90K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$9+$28K lifetime
- 4rocky4201552% won of 1,056$6−$15K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$5+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hot-Skull, with $2.4K on it, $31K lifetime profit over 313 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is frozenriver, with $13 on it, $227K lifetime profit over 247 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.