Who's betting on “Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $63K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $63K has been traded on it.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $63K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $63K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.