Who's betting on “Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.9K by 154 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 81 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 72 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.
Who holds it
154 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 153 of them. The largest Yes holder is meteortrex, with $168 on it, $256 lifetime profit over 48 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Trashbag, with $935 on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 127 markets (87% won).
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $948
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$948 on it
- 1meteortrex75% won of 48 · balanced$168+$256 lifetime
- 2revol65% won of 228 · whale$150+$5.0K lifetime
- 3Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$128+$2.8K lifetime
- 4Machaon49% won of 211 · whale$80+$7.3K lifetime
- 50x49F20662% won of 862$72−$41K lifetime
No$5.0K on it
- 1Trashbag87% won of 127$935−$2.6K lifetime
- 20x97b457Ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668B9471d5d794-178306672003635% won of 43$807−$230 lifetime
- 3StudentMoney69% won of 1,146$572−$168K lifetime
- 4MoonShootBets47% won of 129 · noise$369+$2.4K lifetime
- 5flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$355+$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?"?
154 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 153 of them. The largest Yes holder is meteortrex, with $168 on it, $256 lifetime profit over 48 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Trashbag, with $935 on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 127 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.