Who's betting on “Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?”?

Sports · $206K volume · Ends October 10, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $206K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 10, 2026.

26% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 64 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

210 wallets hold a position worth $136K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 210 of them. The largest Yes holder is Kyn008, with $18K on it, $55K lifetime loss over 192 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is Kch-Temp, with $66K on it, $3.2M lifetime profit over 245 markets (93% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $66K on No.

Yes32%
Smart money share
26% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
134
Money on it
$44K
Holders' winrate
78%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No68%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
93%
Holders
76
Money on it
$91K
Holders' winrate
84%
Snipers
1 · $66K
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Kyn008$18K-$55K97% of 192
1xx3$5.8K-$490K66% of 274
VeryLucky888whale$3.2K+$458K60% of 52,019
MinevaJ$2.1K-$13K75% of 1,386
0x8efa…894c$1.4K-$65K45% of 1,094
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Kch-Tempsniper$66K+$3.2M93% of 245
Flaznorpwhale$8.7K+$1.2M53% of 120,050
leegunnerwhale$2.9K+$368K73% of 1,122
GoalLineGhost$1.9K-$2.2M59% of 40,483
RN1whale$1.7K+$13M60% of 31,466
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?"?

210 wallets hold a position worth $136K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 210 of them. The largest Yes holder is Kyn008, with $18K on it, $55K lifetime loss over 192 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is Kch-Temp, with $66K on it, $3.2M lifetime profit over 245 markets (93% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $206K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 10, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

26% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 64 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 10, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo