Who's betting on “Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?”?
Sports · $346K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $346K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
19% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 69 points.
552 wallets hold a position worth $276K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 519 of them. The largest Yes holder is nigiri99, with $45K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 13,624 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is zhaocaimao11, with $26K on it, $3.7K lifetime loss over 256 markets (76% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $686 on No.
- Smart money share
- 19%
- Holders
- 409
- Money on it
- $75K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 40% ▼ 17 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 143
- Money on it
- $200K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $686
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $45K | -$1.4M | 46% of 13,624 |
| 0x765e…36dd | $6.5K | -$12K | 43% of 3,052 |
| 0x5eff…ae94 | $2.5K | +$417 | 40% of 10 |
| marchettamaker | $2.4K | +$3.3K | 93% of 15 |
| 0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120balanced | $2.1K | +$26K | 92% of 24 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| zhaocaimao11 | $26K | -$3.7K | 76% of 256 |
| Cannaewhale | $19K | +$1.3M | 64% of 4,458 |
| shark142 | $19K | -$799K | 32% of 1,008 |
| Endgametheory | $19K | -$9.0K | 35% of 224 |
| mama111 | $13K | -$15K | 60% of 5 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?"?
552 wallets hold a position worth $276K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 519 of them. The largest Yes holder is nigiri99, with $45K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 13,624 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is zhaocaimao11, with $26K on it, $3.7K lifetime loss over 256 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $346K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
19% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 69 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.