Who's betting on “Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $81K traded all time
- Held now
- $21K by 386 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 21% 160 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 226 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $81K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
21% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 61 points.
Who holds it
386 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 386 of them. The largest Yes holder is AlexCimmeria, with $476 on it, $35K lifetime loss over 116 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $3.7K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 160
- Money on it
- $960
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 226
- Money on it
- $20K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$960 on it
- 1AlexCimmeria72% won of 116$476−$35K lifetime
- 2darkus78% won of 80 · balanced$39+$175 lifetime
- 30x9366…635055% won of 92 · balanced$38+$5.2K lifetime
- 4suppluhno record yet$37+$0 lifetime
- 50xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-174601274498397% won of 242 · balanced$35+$11K lifetime
No$20K on it
- 1archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$3.7K+$197K lifetime
- 2gopfan279% won of 1,014 · whale$3.3K+$1.7M lifetime
- 3mountaindewd67% won of 653 · whale$2.7K+$174K lifetime
- 4LLDLIMITED66% won of 64 · balanced$2.6K+$2.5K lifetime
- 5operatord93% won of 203 · grinder$1.1K+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?"?
386 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 386 of them. The largest Yes holder is AlexCimmeria, with $476 on it, $35K lifetime loss over 116 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $3.7K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $81K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.