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Who's betting on “José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?”?

Politics$75K traded144 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$75K
traded all time
Held now
$17K
by 144 wallets
Smart share · Yes
50%
80 scored holders
Smart share · No
78%
64 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

50% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.

Who holds it

144 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 144 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe049…b4cd, with $113 on it, $17 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Basquetipster, with $5.3K on it, $46K lifetime profit over 1,078 markets (93% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share50%
7 days ago 50%a day ago 50%now 50%
Holders
80
Money on it
$748
Holders' win rate
57%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share78%
7 days ago 78%a day ago 78%now 78%
Holders
64
Money on it
$16K
Holders' win rate
76%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$748 on it

  1. 10xe049…b4cdno record yet$113+$17 lifetime
  2. 20xA14BFe786f4028c015089CB27Ed691e7e95D244D-1782330173532100% won of 6$64+$978 lifetime
  3. 3SALADITO43% won of 496$61−$58K lifetime
  4. 4Aldamano record yet$48+$0 lifetime
  5. 50xcc78eEbef0C520F728AaB81dB3b7eCc61E50dC47-1779281706410no record yet$45+$0 lifetime

No$16K on it

  1. 1Basquetipster93% won of 1,078 · whale$5.3K+$46K lifetime
  2. 2pkz63% won of 1,047 · whale$4.5K+$67K lifetime
  3. 3fpfpfpfpfpfpfp43% won of 14$923+$149 lifetime
  4. 4grauito78% won of 239$774−$1.4K lifetime
  5. 5DFK81% won of 771 · whale$647+$42K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?"?

144 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 144 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe049…b4cd, with $113 on it, $17 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Basquetipster, with $5.3K on it, $46K lifetime profit over 1,078 markets (93% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

50% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.