Who's betting on “Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $186K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 224 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 109 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 115 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $186K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
Who holds it
224 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 224 of them. The largest Yes holder is Vilgefortz, with $1.3K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 377 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $4.3K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 109
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.8K on it
- 1Vilgefortz73% won of 377 · whale$1.3K+$348K lifetime
- 2KimJonEn71% won of 1,015 · whale$221+$50K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$174+$254K lifetime
- 4Friday29% won of 302 · noise$126+$42K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$102+$335K lifetime
No$22K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$4.3K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2WongKimArk69% won of 380 · whale$2.7K+$88K lifetime
- 355BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES10057% won of 200 · whale$2.2K+$33K lifetime
- 4nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$1.9K+$80K lifetime
- 5Mr-Krabs75% won of 872 · whale$1.5K+$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?"?
224 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 224 of them. The largest Yes holder is Vilgefortz, with $1.3K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 377 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $4.3K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $186K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.