Who's betting on “JD Vance out as VP by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $157K traded all time
- Held now
- $30K by 150 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 115 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $157K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
150 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigRabbit, with $745 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $4.9K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$745+$127K lifetime
- 2Bravo41468% won of 161 · balanced$265+$2.5K lifetime
- 30x7eb553adF89d6f30eFDAdc6DB68E925dfDF321A7-1764672391572100% won of 1$92−$536 lifetime
- 4MtnMark53% won of 101 · balanced$17+$11K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$16+$254K lifetime
No$28K on it
- 10x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$4.9K+$29K lifetime
- 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$4.9K+$801K lifetime
- 3DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$3.6K+$104K lifetime
- 4siick69% won of 1,040 · whale$2.4K+$97K lifetime
- 50xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-175812516241386% won of 303 · grinder$2.1K+$7.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "JD Vance out as VP by December 31?"?
150 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigRabbit, with $745 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $4.9K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "JD Vance out as VP by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $157K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.