Who's betting on “Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 29% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
29% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is happydog, with $34 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 19 markets (11% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $1.2K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $258
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$258 on it
- 1happydog11% won of 19$34−$1.4K lifetime
- 20x0ab9…b9a6no record yet$26+$0 lifetime
- 3Warmsocks64% won of 14$23−$209 lifetime
- 4vamnizar57% won of 230 · whale$20+$42K lifetime
- 5Furyhound11% won of 72$19−$460 lifetime
No$4.9K on it
- 1Avamax74% won of 770 · whale$1.2K+$17K lifetime
- 2DegenerateJanet83% won of 672 · whale$1.0K+$27K lifetime
- 3HughJackman49% won of 200$1.0K−$4.9K lifetime
- 40xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-177305021622177% won of 243 · balanced$324+$4.4K lifetime
- 5Gaujmalietis96% won of 218 · grinder$285+$4.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is happydog, with $34 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 19 markets (11% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $1.2K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
29% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.