Who's betting on “Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.6K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $45 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is sqaolkytrpoi, with $2.9K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 240 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $123
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$123 on it
- 1Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$45+$154K lifetime
- 2Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$22+$44K lifetime
- 3Bilal9543% won of 58$10−$3.7K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$8+$255K lifetime
- 5SqMoneyHunter56% won of 102 · balanced$7+$3.0K lifetime
No$4.5K on it
- 1sqaolkytrpoi53% won of 240 · whale$2.9K+$56K lifetime
- 2Huludubu56% won of 1,051 · whale$243+$45K lifetime
- 3tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$232+$973K lifetime
- 4Chims82% won of 1,288 · whale$214+$83K lifetime
- 5NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$190+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $45 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is sqaolkytrpoi, with $2.9K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 240 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.