Who's betting on “Israel election: will Likud lose seats?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $51K traded all time
- Held now
- $24K by 238 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 51% 148 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 79 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
51% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
238 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 227 of them. The largest Yes holder is slifsh, with $4.0K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 55 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Davidans, with $47 on it, $4.3K lifetime loss over 56 markets (59% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $287 on Yes.
- Holders
- 153
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 1 · $287
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $267
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$24K on it
- 1slifsh80% won of 55$4.0K−$3.0K lifetime
- 2NeevS87% won of 252 · grinder$1.3K+$386 lifetime
- 3nitsangalon53% won of 111$1.2K−$2.1K lifetime
- 4HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$1.0K+$179K lifetime
- 5Likatal100% won of 2$989+$8 lifetime
No$267 on it
- 1Davidans59% won of 56$47−$4.3K lifetime
- 20x63C4dCbb199c5eCA30c8a002fF238aAd5DCE4671-177912590002046% won of 84 · noise$28+$27K lifetime
- 30xf09CF55708696AdAb6853091E1D581Bb1D002ee4-1768063479725no record yet$26+$0 lifetime
- 4Guytamno record yet$23+$0 lifetime
- 5Mgazit1957no record yet$14+$0 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Israel election: will Likud lose seats?"?
238 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 227 of them. The largest Yes holder is slifsh, with $4.0K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 55 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Davidans, with $47 on it, $4.3K lifetime loss over 56 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israel election: will Likud lose seats?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.