Who's betting on “Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?”?
Politics · $384K volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 28, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $384K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
12% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 84 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.
374 wallets hold a position worth $268K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 330 of them. The largest Yes holder is RayZehavi, with $4.8K on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 2 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557, with $66K on it, $50K lifetime loss over 429 markets (58% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $130 on Yes; 2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on No; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $1.8K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 12%
- Holders
- 176
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' winrate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 2 · $130
- Insider flags
- 1 · $1.8K
- Smart money share
- 61% ▼ 34 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 198
- Money on it
- $252K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.6K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RayZehavi | $4.8K | -$1.2K | 0% of 2 |
| 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679 | $1.2K | -$43K | 44% of 27 |
| FluffyMD2026 | $1.2K | +$0 | - |
| Etay0044 | $1.2K | -$2.2K | 10% of 10 |
| dromedaryywhale | $635 | +$861K | 71% of 70 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 | $66K | -$50K | 58% of 429 |
| Winninghumblywhale | $28K | +$95K | 95% of 171 |
| pakukudolphiwhale | $24K | +$136K | 46% of 313 |
| flawfencewhale | $11K | +$1.0M | 75% of 495 |
| HerrieDaviswhale | $9.3K | +$321K | 63% of 2,641 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?"?
374 wallets hold a position worth $268K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 330 of them. The largest Yes holder is RayZehavi, with $4.8K on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 2 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557, with $66K on it, $50K lifetime loss over 429 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $384K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
12% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 84 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($1.8K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.