Who's betting on “Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.1K by 81 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
81 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is 881112, with $2.0K on it, $450K lifetime profit over 1,119 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $1.9K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 188111260% won of 1,119 · whale$2.0K+$450K lifetime
- 2rocky4200448% won of 802$90−$16K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$73+$255K lifetime
- 4Peter.YF76% won of 259 · balanced$60+$1.8K lifetime
- 5crackenthusiast60% won of 204 · whale$45+$13K lifetime
No$5.7K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$1.9K+$973K lifetime
- 2nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$998+$80K lifetime
- 3Eia59% won of 1,231 · whale$775+$23K lifetime
- 4Udonsan78% won of 868 · whale$280+$68K lifetime
- 5Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$280+$154K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?"?
81 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is 881112, with $2.0K on it, $450K lifetime profit over 1,119 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $1.9K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.