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Who's betting on “Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?”?

Politics$10K traded36 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
22%Yes🧠 smart money
78%No

Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$3.4K
by 36 wallets
Smart share · Yes
93%
15 scored holders
Smart share · No
85%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

93% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points.

Who holds it

36 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is maritime6307, with $347 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 377 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $1.5K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).

Yes22%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93%
a day ago 93%now 93%
Holders
15
Money on it
$755
Holders' win rate
44%
No78%
Smart money share85% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
a day ago 83%now 85%
Holders
21
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$755 on it

  1. 1maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$347+$2.6K lifetime
  2. 2bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$194+$5.1K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$113+$255K lifetime
  4. 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$29−$287K lifetime
  5. 5Betbet11178% won of 55 · balanced$22+$4.8K lifetime

No$2.7K on it

  1. 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$1.5K+$973K lifetime
  2. 2timeistmoney53% won of 679 · balanced$314+$1.6K lifetime
  3. 3dontshowmyname83% won of 224 · whale$222+$42K lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$187−$485K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 49,296$133−$52K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?"?

36 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is maritime6307, with $347 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 377 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $1.5K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.