Who's betting on “Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.0K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $588 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is cosmicsteaks, with $2.1K on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 4,326 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $333 on No.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 2 · $333
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$588+$83K lifetime
- 2goingsocial50% won of 215 · whale$275+$41K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$105+$255K lifetime
- 4dreamingToBeAGuru52% won of 154$60−$11K lifetime
- 5DataDog43% won of 205$57−$20K lifetime
No$4.7K on it
- 1cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$2.1K+$8.2K lifetime
- 2DuneMentat74% won of 841$1.3K−$12K lifetime
- 30x9e24bD0ebC6A423C43cf600E7bF1170A867B7e71-177563255369980% won of 1,156 · balanced$334+$1.7K lifetime
- 4singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$333+$78K lifetime
- 50xb8da…009253% won of 232$268−$4.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $588 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is cosmicsteaks, with $2.1K on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 4,326 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.