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Who's betting on “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?”?

Politics$21K traded90 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
18%Yes🧠 smart money
83%No

Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$21K
traded all time
Held now
$4.1K
by 90 wallets
Smart share · Yes
76%
60 scored holders
Smart share · No
65%
30 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

76% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.

Who holds it

90 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.

Yes18%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share76%
7 days ago 75%a day ago 76%now 76%
Holders
60
Money on it
$713
Holders' win rate
55%
No83%
Smart money share65%
7 days ago 62%a day ago 65%now 65%
Holders
30
Money on it
$3.4K
Holders' win rate
67%
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"?

90 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

76% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.