Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 187 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 97 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 90 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 18, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
187 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 187 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123987456, with $1 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 2,418 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Sunnydays, with $339 on it, $5.9K lifetime profit over 524 markets (87% won).
- Holders
- 97
- Money on it
- $16
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16 on it
- 112398745644% won of 2,418 · whale$1+$51K lifetime
- 2ALJJ29% won of 1,323 · noise$1+$1.9K lifetime
- 3ChaosStake37% won of 733$1−$3.4K lifetime
- 4edgewarehouse36% won of 12,336 · noise$1+$31K lifetime
- 50xD2816C5037f7f682a01b7436bA28794B3C09D824-177585733089970% won of 217$0−$787 lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1Sunnydays87% won of 524 · grinder$339+$5.9K lifetime
- 2OutOfMemory73% won of 3,218 · balanced$236+$8.0K lifetime
- 324153253243258% won of 6,529 · balanced$231+$15K lifetime
- 40x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-17788115023548% won of 32,579 · noise$99+$51K lifetime
- 51DVSBSTD99% won of 11,087 · whale$82+$2.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 18?
3 more- 21°C$30K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- 20°C$32K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 23°C$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18?"?
187 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 187 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123987456, with $1 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 2,418 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Sunnydays, with $339 on it, $5.9K lifetime profit over 524 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 18, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 18, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.