Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 205 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 146 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $24K has been traded on it.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
Who holds it
205 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 205 of them.
- Holders
- 146
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 89%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?"?
205 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 205 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?"?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $24K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $24K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.