Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.9K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 29, 2026 and resolved No. $11K has been traded on it.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Wellington on October 29?
3 more- 19°C$15K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 17°C$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 18°C$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$501K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?"?
This market closed on October 29, 2026 and resolved No. $11K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 29, 2026 and resolved No. $11K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.