Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 179 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 122 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 26% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points.
Who holds it
179 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 179 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x65f7…8b98, with $0 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,934 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is 0xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-1770555317426, with $1.7K on it, $31K lifetime loss over 933 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 122
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 10x65f7…8b9877% won of 1,934 · whale$0+$37K lifetime
- 2OutOfMemory73% won of 3,218 · balanced$0+$8.0K lifetime
- 30xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-17788118920368% won of 32,912 · noise$0+$31K lifetime
- 4PenniesDozer89% won of 389$0−$4.9K lifetime
- 5CedarDuck99% won of 694$0−$5.0K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 10xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-177055531742699% won of 933$1.7K−$31K lifetime
- 20x8888B87% won of 69$531−$85 lifetime
- 3hfv42% won of 44,721$328−$142K lifetime
- 4OnlyLuckNoBrain82% won of 2,517 · whale$277+$34K lifetime
- 5rocky4202353% won of 1,245$206−$19K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Wellington on October 29?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?"?
179 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 179 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x65f7…8b98, with $0 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,934 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is 0xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-1770555317426, with $1.7K on it, $31K lifetime loss over 933 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.