Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9?”?
Smart money leans No: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 164 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 35% 93 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 71 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 10, 2026 and resolved No. $18K has been traded on it.
The smart money
35% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
Who holds it
164 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 164 of them.
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $7
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 96%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 9?
4 more- 17°C$23K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 16°C$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 14°C$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 18°C$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9?"?
164 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 164 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9?"?
This market closed on October 10, 2026 and resolved No. $18K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 10, 2026 and resolved No. $18K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.