Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 146 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 89 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 19, 2026.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
Who holds it
146 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is physical-geographer, with $11 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 555 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is hello.67, with $1.6K on it, $58K lifetime profit over 4,837 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $29
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$29 on it
- 1physical-geographer50% won of 555$11−$12K lifetime
- 2sleeper-service74% won of 2,245$9−$1.4K lifetime
- 30xeb1b…87c078% won of 1,846 · whale$6+$47K lifetime
- 4Mymycrousty67100% won of 263$4−$4.9K lifetime
- 5Poligarch58% won of 14,833 · whale$3+$200K lifetime
No$3.4K on it
- 1hello.6770% won of 4,837 · whale$1.6K+$58K lifetime
- 20x56752% won of 13,842$303−$16K lifetime
- 3ninja6799% won of 1,158 · whale$149+$1.8K lifetime
- 4penguin-183% won of 334$132−$983 lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$127−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Toronto on October 19?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?"?
146 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is physical-geographer, with $11 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 555 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is hello.67, with $1.6K on it, $58K lifetime profit over 4,837 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 19, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 19, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.