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Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 24?”?

Weather$12K traded187 holdersEnds October 24, 2026Updated October 24, 2026
99%Yes🧠 smart money
1%No

Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$8.0K
by 187 wallets
Smart share · Yes
75%
89 scored holders
Smart share · No
60%
97 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.

The smart money

75% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points.

Who holds it

187 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 186 of them.

Yes99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share75%
Holders
90
Money on it
$7.9K
Holders' win rate
72%
No1%
Smart money share60%
Holders
97
Money on it
$79
Holders' win rate
52%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 24?"?

187 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 186 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 24?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

75% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.