Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?”?
Smart money leans No: 45% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.1K by 207 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 114 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 93 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 17, 2026 and resolved Yes. $11K has been traded on it.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
Who holds it
207 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them.
- Holders
- 114
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 89%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?"?
207 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?"?
This market closed on October 17, 2026 and resolved Yes. $11K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 17, 2026 and resolved Yes. $11K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.