Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 251 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 141 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 110 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $38K has been traded on it.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
251 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 251 of them.
- Holders
- 141
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
- Holders
- 110
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 92%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 16?
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- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?"?
251 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 251 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $38K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $38K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.