Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 176 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 93 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 83 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points.
Who holds it
176 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylar012, with $1.2K on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,873 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $0 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 16,178 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.3K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,873 · whale$1.2K+$5.1K lifetime
- 20x8888B89% won of 79 · balanced$630+$147 lifetime
- 324153253243258% won of 6,610 · balanced$502+$15K lifetime
- 4ChaosStake37% won of 733$400−$3.4K lifetime
- 5rubby-always-wins49% won of 387 · balanced$300+$147 lifetime
No$1 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 16,178 · noise$0+$28K lifetime
- 2andyjoy52% won of 871 · balanced$0+$93 lifetime
- 3qqqppp-l138% won of 7,240 · noise$0+$11K lifetime
- 4rocky4200952% won of 1,050$0−$6.9K lifetime
- 50xb123…8e0e65% won of 1,234$0−$5.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 29?
2 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$501K vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylar012, with $1.2K on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,873 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $0 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 16,178 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.