Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.4K by 110 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 76 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
110 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 110 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfda1…416c, with $2 on it, $133 lifetime loss over 1,426 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $5.2K on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,873 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $6.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 93%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4 on it
- 10xfda1…416c60% won of 1,426$2−$133 lifetime
- 2wangduoyu1010no record yet$1+$0 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 16,204 · noise$0+$28K lifetime
- 4ChaosStake37% won of 733$0−$3.4K lifetime
- 5FaucetWiki40% won of 950$0−$25K lifetime
No$6.4K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,873 · whale$5.2K+$5.1K lifetime
- 224153253243258% won of 6,610 · balanced$523+$15K lifetime
- 3FFmelody79% won of 250 · balanced$200+$58 lifetime
- 40x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-177378228792743% won of 62,339 · whale$87+$34K lifetime
- 5MrBPT99% won of 630 · balanced$76+$3.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 29?
2 more- 23°C$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 24°C$10K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$501K vol.Yes 32%No 69%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?"?
110 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 110 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfda1…416c, with $2 on it, $133 lifetime loss over 1,426 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $5.2K on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,873 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.