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Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?”?

Weather$13K traded142 holdersEnds October 23, 2026Updated October 23, 2026
1%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$4.1K
by 142 wallets
Smart share · Yes
49%
98 scored holders
Smart share · No
73%
44 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 23, 2026.

The smart money

49% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points.

Who holds it

142 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 142 of them.

Yes1%
Smart money share49%
Holders
98
Money on it
$4
Holders' win rate
55%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share73%
Holders
44
Money on it
$4.1K
Holders' win rate
69%
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?"?

142 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 142 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 23, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

49% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 23, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.