Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.7K by 126 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 79 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
126 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $3 on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 83,865 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $6.1K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 2,983 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 79
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 96%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6 on it
- 10x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 83,865$3−$4.0M lifetime
- 20xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-17788104644939% won of 36,820 · noise$0+$25K lifetime
- 3samalitopshen98% won of 8,280 · whale$0+$1.0K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 18,237 · noise$0+$28K lifetime
- 5edgewarehouse37% won of 12,698 · noise$0+$32K lifetime
No$7.7K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,983 · whale$6.1K+$5.2K lifetime
- 2LoogLong97% won of 647 · balanced$356+$2.4K lifetime
- 3hfv40% won of 51,256$200−$146K lifetime
- 4911595% won of 320$161−$67 lifetime
- 5OnlyLuckNoBrain82% won of 2,691 · whale$125+$34K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 31?
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$808K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$361K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$342K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?"?
126 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $3 on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 83,865 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $6.1K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 2,983 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.