Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 196 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 116 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 80 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
196 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x4f74…8774, with $0 on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 243 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0x728743327541B8b57E9b8Bbe25C9E5a53fF35375-1780497866237, with $471 on it, $422 lifetime profit over 764 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 116
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 10x4f74…877440% won of 243 · noise$0+$2.7K lifetime
- 2sleeper-service75% won of 2,251$0−$1.2K lifetime
- 3AlexD8781% won of 634 · whale$0+$8.4K lifetime
- 4OnlyLuckNoBrain82% won of 2,532 · whale$0+$34K lifetime
- 5Lex-tang28% won of 1,096 · noise$0+$18K lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 10x728743327541B8b57E9b8Bbe25C9E5a53fF35375-178049786623799% won of 764 · grinder$471+$422 lifetime
- 2LoogLong97% won of 602 · balanced$280+$2.3K lifetime
- 30x8888B89% won of 79 · balanced$123+$147 lifetime
- 4HKPicker270% won of 258 · balanced$103+$623 lifetime
- 5CSImage96% won of 666$94−$1.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 29?
5 more- 13°C$19K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- 15°C$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 12°C$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 11°C$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 16°C$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$501K vol.Yes 34%No 67%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?"?
196 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x4f74…8774, with $0 on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 243 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0x728743327541B8b57E9b8Bbe25C9E5a53fF35375-1780497866237, with $471 on it, $422 lifetime profit over 764 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.