Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 124 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 76 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points.
Who holds it
124 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 124 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023, with $0 on it, $82K lifetime profit over 32,386 markets (9% won). The largest No holder is 0xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-1761783595559, with $500 on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 1,463 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 10x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-17788112810239% won of 32,386 · noise$0+$82K lifetime
- 2Bilberry65% won of 7,005 · whale$0+$51K lifetime
- 30x38f8…881752% won of 84$0−$11 lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 16,022 · whale$0+$164K lifetime
- 50x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-177378228792743% won of 62,202 · whale$0+$34K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 10xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-176178359555996% won of 1,463$500−$2.6K lifetime
- 2Tom36575% won of 742 · balanced$484+$223 lifetime
- 30xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-177055531742699% won of 942$481−$31K lifetime
- 4APlayBoy99% won of 328 · grinder$328+$835 lifetime
- 5911595% won of 313$117−$122 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 29?
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?"?
124 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 124 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023, with $0 on it, $82K lifetime profit over 32,386 markets (9% won). The largest No holder is 0xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-1761783595559, with $500 on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 1,463 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.