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Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?”?

Weather$11K traded202 holdersEnds October 22, 2026Updated October 23, 2026
25%Yes🧠 smart money
75%No

Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$2.4K
by 202 wallets
Smart share · Yes
72%
114 scored holders
Smart share · No
54%
88 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 22, 2026.

The smart money

72% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points.

Who holds it

202 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 202 of them.

Yes25%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72%
Holders
114
Money on it
$30
Holders' win rate
71%
No75%
Smart money share54%
Holders
88
Money on it
$2.3K
Holders' win rate
73%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?"?

202 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 202 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 22, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

72% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 22, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.