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Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?”?

Weather$13K traded208 holdersEnds October 16, 2026Updated October 16, 2026
100%Yes
0%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$5.9K
by 208 wallets
Smart share · Yes
51%
123 scored holders
Smart share · No
78%
85 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 16, 2026.

The smart money

51% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

Who holds it

208 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them.

Yes100%
Smart money share51%
a day ago 51%now 51%
Holders
123
Money on it
$5.9K
Holders' win rate
78%
No0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share78%
a day ago 78%now 78%
Holders
85
Money on it
$2
Holders' win rate
61%
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?"?

208 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 16, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

51% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.