Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 177 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 125 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 15, 2026 and resolved Yes. $11K has been traded on it.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
177 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them.
- Holders
- 125
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 94%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Manila on October 15?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$808K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?"?
177 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?"?
This market closed on October 15, 2026 and resolved Yes. $11K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 15, 2026 and resolved Yes. $11K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.