Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 232 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 139 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 93 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 3, 2026 and resolved No. $23K has been traded on it.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
232 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 232 of them.
- Holders
- 139
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Madrid on October 2?
3 more- 24°C$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 25°C$14K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 23°C$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?"?
232 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 232 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?"?
This market closed on October 3, 2026 and resolved No. $23K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 3, 2026 and resolved No. $23K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.